Commercial Space

So far I've covered the use of containers as residential structures. In this post I want to discuss a project idea that was brought to me by a local commercial property developer. I think maybe, first, a little background material that will help illustrate my point. The commercial property market in the United States, as a whole, looks pretty bleak right now. Nationally we have huge amounts of vacant commercial space. So much so that the underlying equity value of commercial property is open to question. Projects that were financed and constructed during our recent boom times are still carried on the books at the value they were projected to be worth during the boom. The truth is that the current actual value of commercial properties is much, much lower than book value. It will take years for this difference to equalize, if it ever does. The market recognizes this but it's not in anybodies interest to rock the boat. During the good times you could use the equity value of a preforming property to finance the construction of your next deal. And so now most commercial property is leveraged sky high and the underlying values that supported all this expansion have vastly depreciated. Nobody wants to be caught holding an empty bag so commercial property financing has dried up. If you can't build equity in commercial property at the moment then the next best thing you can do is create cash flow.

There are several parts of Portland that continue to thrive in spite of the national trends. As in almost every major city in the country there are areas that continue to gentrify. These old neighborhoods are undervalued to begin with and so draw the kind of people that always are looking for cheap rent, the creative community. Young families soon move in to these new enclaves and the property values rise. Eventually more traditional property developers begin to recognize whats happening and support the new community with commercial growth. The Alberta Arts District, here in Portland, is my local example. Most of the larger commercial buildings along Alberta Street have already been redeveloped into cute retail spaces, restaurants and the ubiquitous coffee bar. There are, however, several vacant undeveloped lots along Alberta Street. These are being rapidly filled with Portland's latest craze, food carts. The city of Portland to encourage entrepreneurial enterprise made it legal to operate restaurants kitchens inside mobile trailers. The quality and diverse selection of food this delivered very quickly caught on. There are now, in almost every neighborhood, previously empty lots packed with as many food carts as will fit. The property owner simply had to provide a network of power supplies and a shared water source, creating instant cash flow. Inevitably there will be a shake out as the weaker businesses fail and the large number of the locations contracts to right size themselves to the market. What I find most interesting in all this is that the people that owned these vacant unproductive lots have found a way to turn a small initial investment into a cash machine.

The same week that the Bethel Island project dissolved I was contacted by a local commercial property developer. He has several vacant lots on Alberta Street and is farsighted enough to see the eventual contraction in the food cart market and so doesn't want to over invest in that kind of improvement. Rather, he is open to the idea of creating an arcade of small retail spaces by using a combination of 20 and 40' containers on a 10,000 square foot L shaped lot in the heart of the Alberta Arts District. Really this whole concept was his idea, its brilliant. The financial thinking is that you invest just enough to create cash flow and forget about expensive equity building improvements. The rents while individually lower are collectively as high as you'd expect for a strip mall per square foot and he won't have a huge mortgage to service. It's exciting, sure there will be a bunch of turn over but by pricing each 20' unit at around $400 he won't have a shortage of people waiting for a chance to try their hand in a retail space on a good street. If it pans out this concept could spread to newly gentrified neighborhoods all over the country.